Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
47.2%52.8%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.78Projected Runs 4.08
3Final Score 5
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Chris Bassitt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2915-83.271.128

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
309-64.291.205

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 2-4 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Kyle Wright-112
L 2-5 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried-111
W 4-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • NYM: Taijuan Walker-180
L 6-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-200
W 13-4 at Oakland AthleticsNYM: Max Scherzer • OAK: JP Sears-291
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Kyle Wright+108
W 2-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried+110
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsATL: Jake Odorizzi • WSN: Josiah Gray-197
W 8-2 at Washington NationalsATL: Kyle Muller • WSN: Paolo Espino-204
W 8-0 at Washington NationalsATL: Bryce Elder • WSN: Cory Abbott-240

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • -Bryce Montes de OcaUnknown
  • PMychal Givens10-day IL
  • PTommy HunterUnknown
  • DHDarin Ruf10-day IL
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PJacob deGromQuestionable

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMike SorokaUnknown
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • PSpencer StriderUnknown
  • 2BOzzie Albies10-day IL
  • PKirby YatesUnknown
NNE 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°67°65°65°
Humidity59%64%69%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNNE 4 mphNNE 5 mphN 8 mphN 9 mph
Mike Estabrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+115+118+107+116+114+116+118+119.4
Braves-125-127-128-126-124-126-124-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+110+120+120+112+115+118+120+119.4
Braves-120-130-131-125-125-128-125-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +115 to +108
Braves ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mets ML
Braves ML moved from -117 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-185+1½-188+1½-185+1½-183+1½-183+1½-183+1½-183+1½-169
Braves-1½+160-1½+167-1½+160-1½+163-1½+163-1½+163-1½+167-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-200+1½-185+1½-186+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-169
Braves-1½+175-1½+165-1½+164-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-125o7½-115o7½-125o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½-110u7½-103u7½-110u7½+105u7½-105u7½+105u7½+105u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under