Guardians at Nationals

Updated
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
69.0%31.0%
Guardians WinNationals Win
4.69Projected Runs 2.75
6Final Score 7
Rank25
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank25
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-02.370.947

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-27.712.143

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 6-4 at Washington NationalsCLE: Zach Plesac • WSN: Chad Kuhl-165
W 4-3 at Washington NationalsCLE: Cal Quantrill • WSN: Trevor Williams-152
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Peyton Battenfield+100
L 11-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+164
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo German • CLE: Shane Bieber-157
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • WSN: Chad Kuhl+158
L 4-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • WSN: Trevor Williams+146
L 2-3 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • LAA: Griffin Canning+160
L 0-2 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Josiah Gray • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+263
W 6-4 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Patrick Corbin • LAA: Jose Suarez+245

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PSam HentgesUnknown
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • PCody Morris60-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
S 5 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°83°83°83°
Humidity51%47%45%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 5 mphS 7 mphS 8 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-190-215-230-215-210-215-210-202.0
Nationals+180+195+190+196+190+196+196+202.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-225-240-220-235-235-215-215-202.0
Nationals+185+200+198+192+210+195+210+202.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -230 to -240
Nationals ML moved from +200 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -225 to -235
Nationals ML moved from +200 to +190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½-120-1½-128-1½-140-1½-140-1½-130-1½-140-1½-128-1½-128
Nationals+1½+100+1½+112+1½+120+1½+120+1½+110+1½+120+1½+120+1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½-140-1½-140-1½-130-1½-135-1½-140-1½-145-1½-130-1½-128
Nationals+1½+118+1½+120+1½+112+1½+115+1½+120+1½+125+1½+120+1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-108o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-108o9+100
Underu8½-115u9-108u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-108u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-105o9+100
Underu8½-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
No Steam Moves On Under