Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.2
RA/G3.9
58.2%41.8%
Padres WinPirates Win
4.72Projected Runs 3.85
2Final Score 1
Rank25
R/G3.2
RA/G4.0
Rank10
R/G4.2
RA/G3.9
Rank25
R/G3.2
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Randy Vásquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-34.281.573

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-35.931.352

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 9-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Dylan Cease • PIT: Mitch Keller-130
W 3-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Landen Roupp • SDP: Michael King-130
W 4-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Nick Pivetta+107
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • SDP: Randy Vásquez+107
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • SDP: Dylan Cease-135
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 9-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • PIT: Mitch Keller+126
L 8-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • PIT: Paul Skenes-120
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+160
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • PIT: Andrew Heaney+136
L 2-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+290

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.In Lineup
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa10-day IL
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
WSW 8 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)63°63°62°61°
Humidity81%82%82%83%
Precipitation89%47%37%33%
ConditionRainDrizzleCloudyDrizzle
WindWSW 8 mphW 6 mphWNW 5 mphNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-115+105+103+105+106+105+106+110.1
Pirates+104-115-123-116-116-116-115-110.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-112+105+115+103+104+112+115+110.1
Pirates+100-120-128-118-114-122-114-110.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 40.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +108 to +102
Pirates ML moved from -108 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 40.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +108 to +102
Pirates ML moved from -115 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+140+1½-188+1½-200+1½-192+1½-195+1½-192+1½-188+1½-176
Pirates+1½-160-1½+167-1½+170-1½+167-1½+167-1½+167-1½+170-1½+176
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145+1½-190-1½+170+1½-180+1½-190+1½-190+1½-176
Pirates+1½-165-1½+170+1½-195-1½+160-1½+170-1½+170-1½+176

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9½+102o9½+100o9½+100o9-125o9½+100o9½+102o9½+109
Underu9-120u9½-118u9½-120u9½-120u9+105u9½-120u9½-118u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-120o9½+109
Underu9-120u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+105u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120