Reds at Nationals

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.8
54.7%45.3%
Reds WinNationals Win
4.69Projected Runs 4.19
2Final Score 8
Rank22
R/G5.3
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.8
Rank22
R/G5.3
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Chase Burns (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2113-12.351.1

Andrew Alvarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsCIN: Chase Petty • WSN: Cade Cavalli+110
W 5-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Mason Barnett • CIN: Andrew Abbott-160
W 2-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Jacob Lopez • CIN: Rhett Lowder-160
W 4-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: J.T. Ginn • CIN: Brady Singer-129
W 2-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Chase Burns-130
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Petty • WSN: Cade Cavalli-115
L 3-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Miles Mikolas • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+295
W 10-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Andrew Painter+177
L 0-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Carson Palmquist • PHI: Jesús Luzardo+260
L 3-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Andrew Alvarez • PHI: Aaron Nola+139

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • 1BSpencer Steer10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • RFBlake Dunn60-day IL
  • PTony Santillan15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMitchell ParkerOut
  • CDrew Millas10-day IL
  • PPJ Poulin60-day IL
  • PRichard Lovelady60-day IL
  • LFJames Wood10-day IL
SSW 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°85°82°81°
Humidity64%71%77%79%
Precipitation49%40%51%49%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSW 6 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-145-130-139-133-134-133-130-126.2
Nationals+131+120+116+121+124+121+124+126.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-142-130-134-134-144--130-126.2
Nationals+126+120+120+119+128-+128+126.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -129 to -137
Nationals ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Nationals ML moved from +130 to +120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+115-1½+123-1½+120-1½+123-1½+125-1½+123-1½+125-1½+131
Nationals+1½-135+1½-137+1½-140+1½-143+1½-145+1½-143+1½-137+1½-131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+115--1½+125-1½+131
Nationals+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135-+1½-135+1½-131

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-104o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104o8½+100
Underu8½-120u8½-108u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115-o8½-115o8½+100
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105-u8½-105u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under