Guardians at Twins

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(12-6)
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
48.0%52.0%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.55Projected Runs 3.76
3Final Score 1

Minnesota Twins

(6-11)
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-64.441.084

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-12.250.417

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 11-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CLE: Aaron Civale+104
L 3-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CLE: Zach Plesac+177
L 10-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CLE: Eli Morgan+128
W 1-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Andrew Albers • CLE: Cal Quantrill-155
L 3-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CLE: Triston McKenzie-122
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 5-6 at New York YankeesMIN: John Gant • NYY: Luis Gil+162
L 5-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • MIN: Bailey Ober-160
W 2-9 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Michael Pineda-138
L 6-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Griffin Jax-128
L 1-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Andrew Albers • CLE: Cal Quantrill+148

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CWilson RamosOut for Season
  • SSErnie Clement10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFBrent RookerOut
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonRest
  • PJohn Gant10-day IL
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • PRandy DobnakOut for Season
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
WNW 9 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°72°73°72°
Humidity61%54%51%50%
Precipitation1%2%2%2%
ConditionOvercastMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 9 mphWNW 10 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+125-+110+110+110+110+110-
Twins-135--120-120-120-120-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+118+112+110+108+107+110+112-
Twins-128-122-120-118-117-120-117-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +117 to +109
Twins ML moved from -113 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +109 to +102
Twins ML moved from -115 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-182-+1½-197+1½-195+1½-197+1½-197+1½-195-
Twins-1½+162--1½+172-1½+167-1½+172-1½+172-1½+172-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-185+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-210+1½-195+1½-190-
Twins-1½+165-1½+170-1½+176-1½+170-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115-o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110-
Underu6½-105-u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o6½+105o6-112o6½+110o6½+110o6-125o6½+110-
Underu6½+100u6½-125u6-108u6½-130u6½-130u6+105u6+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+108 to o6-115
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+100 to o6-125
The Under moved from u6½-115 to u6½-125
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