Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(10-13)
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
46.8%53.2%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.41Projected Runs 4.74
3Final Score 0

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-15.40.8

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
194-54.621.11

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: John Gant • CLE: Aaron Civale+121
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen-120
W 6-5 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Griffin Jax • TBR: Luis Patino+197
L 4-11 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Andrew Albers • TBR: Chris Archer+195
L 3-5 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Randy Dobnak • TBR: Michael Wacha+173
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: John Gant • CLE: Aaron Civale-123
L 5-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen+115
W 11-5 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • BOS: Kutter Crawford+130
L 3-4 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Eli Morgan • BOS: Tanner Houck+175
L 5-8 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+157

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • SSAndrelton SimmonsRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CWilson RamosOut for Season
  • SSErnie Clement10-day IL
  • PNick Sandlin10-day IL
  • CFMyles StrawRest
NNW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°75°75°
Humidity53%56%55%54%
Precipitation2%3%2%2%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 7 mphWSW 7 mphW 9 mphSW 10 mph
Dan Merzel
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+125+108+113+115+113+113+115-
Guardians-135-130-123-125-123-123-123-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+115+112+117+114+118+117-
Guardians-125-125-122-127-124-128-122-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +121 to +114
Guardians ML moved from -128 to -4130

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +118 to +110
Guardians ML moved from -126 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-155+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165-
Guardians-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160-
Guardians-1½+140-1½+140-1½+141-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9+110o9+105o8½-115o9+105o9+105o9+110-
Underu9+105u9-130u9-125u8½-105u9-125u9-125u9-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9+100o9+103o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+103-
Underu9½-120u9-120u9-123u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125
Rangers at Diamondbacks
Tigers at Pirates