Nationals at Padres

Updated
Rank26
R/G4.5
RA/G5.1
44.1%55.9%
Nationals WinPadres Win
3.12Projected Runs 3.73
8Final Score 9
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
Rank26
R/G4.5
RA/G5.1
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Max Scherzer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
167-42.10.848

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
177-32.650.951

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 15-5 at San Diego PadresWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Chris Paddack+160
L 4-7 at San Diego PadresWSN: Erick Fedde • SDP: Ryan Weathers+155
W 7-5 at San Diego PadresWSN: Jon Lester • SDP: Joe Musgrove+222
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Garrett Cleavinger • WSN: Joe Ross+125
L 5-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • WSN: Paolo Espino+220
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 15-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Chris Paddack-170
W 4-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • SDP: Ryan Weathers-160
L 7-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jon Lester • SDP: Joe Musgrove-246
W 11-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Blake Snell • PHI: Vince Velasquez-127
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Yu Darvish • PHI: Zach Eflin-149

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFAndrew Stevenson10-day IL
  • LFKyle Schwarber10-day IL
  • SSJordy Mercer10-day IL
  • CAlex Avila10-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey10-day IL
  • PSteven Fuentes60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBlake SnellProbable
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL
SW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°70°69°68°
Humidity74%76%78%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 5 mphSW 4 mphSW 4 mphSSW 3 mph
CB Bucknor
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+143+142+138+140+142+140+142-
Padres-155-158-158-152-152-152-152-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+128+144+135+135+135+138+144-
Padres-140-154-148-145-147-148-147-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +133 to +125
Padres ML moved from -145 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +139 to +132
Padres ML moved from -145 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-190+1½-184+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165-
Padres-1½+165-1½+159-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+159-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170-
Padres-1½+160-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o7-110o7-115o7-114o7-114o7-114o7-110-
Underu7-125u7-110u7-105u7-106u7-106u7-106u7-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o7-120o7-125o7-120o7-120o7-115o7-115-
Underu6½+100u7+100u7+105u7+100u7+100u7-105u7+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-105 to o7-112
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+105 to u7-105