Nationals at Padres

Updated

Washington Nationals

(8-10)
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
36.6%63.4%
Nationals WinPadres Win
3.28Projected Runs 4.69
7Final Score 5

San Diego Padres

(11-10)
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-35.341.552

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
155-62.630.876

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Garrett Cleavinger • WSN: Joe Ross+125
L 5-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • WSN: Paolo Espino+220
L 10-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • WSN: Max Scherzer+110
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Victor Gonzalez • WSN: Patrick Corbin+129
W 6-15 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • WSN: Jon Lester+117
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 11-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Blake Snell • PHI: Vince Velasquez-127
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Yu Darvish • PHI: Zach Eflin-149
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Chris Paddack • PHI: Zack Wheeler+107
L 4-5 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Ryan Weathers • CIN: Luis Castillo+119
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-180

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PErick Fedde10-day IL
  • PDaniel Hudson10-day IL
  • CYan GomesUnknown
  • CAlex Avila10-day IL
  • SSTrea TurnerProbable
  • LFKyle Schwarber10-day IL
  • SSJordy Mercer10-day IL
  • LFAndrew Stevenson10-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey10-day IL
  • PSteven Fuentes60-day IL
  • PKyle Finnegan10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • LFJurickson ProfarRest
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL
  • 1BEric HosmerRest
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
WNW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°69°67°65°
Humidity70%76%82%100%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 9 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+205+243+210+216+205+216+243-
Padres-230-275-250-240-240-240-240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+205+210+222+225+220+220+222-
Padres-230-250-246-255-250-250-246-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +253 to +243
Padres ML moved from -274 to -288

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +224 to +216
Padres ML moved from -240 to -246

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½+114+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+114-
Padres-1½-115-1½-134-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½+115+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115-
Padres-1½-115-1½-135-1½-133-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8½-125o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu7½-110u8½+105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8-115o8½-115o8-115-
Underu7½-110u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8-105u8½-105u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-116 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8+111 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under
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