Padres at Reds

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
55.9%44.1%
Padres WinReds Win
4.83Projected Runs 4.21
4Final Score 5
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Ryan Weathers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-22.471.014

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
163-105.141.476

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-180
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Craig Stammen • CIN: Tony Santillan-131
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • SDP: Yu Darvish-265
L 10-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-259
W 5-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack-310
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+171
L 5-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Craig Stammen • CIN: Tony Santillan+128
W 4-12 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • CIN: Wade Miley-155
L 4-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Muller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-136
W 1-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • CIN: Luis Castillo-117

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BMike Moustakas60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • PLucas Sims10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinRest
  • 3BEugenio SuarezRest
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
NNW 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°77°75°73°
Humidity77%78%82%86%
Precipitation12%7%5%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 4 mphNW 3 mphE 4 mphNW 4 mph
Tripp Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-125+113+115+114+115+115+115-
Reds+115-124-135-124-125-125-124-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-118+119+119+114+117+115+119-
Reds+108-129-130-124-127-125-124-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +102 to -101
Reds ML moved from -115 to -123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Reds ML moved from -122 to -129

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+130+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180-
Reds+1½-150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+135+1½-180+1½-176+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-176-
Reds+1½-155-1½+160-1½+156-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110-
Underu10-115u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-100o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110-
Underu10-120u9½-110u9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-105u9½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9-105