Nationals at Diamondbacks

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
34.2%65.8%
Nationals WinDiamondbacks Win
3.29Projected Runs 4.93
9Final Score 7
Rank20
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank20
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-13.421.098

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-23.521.016

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 9-3 at Seattle MarinersWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SEA: Emerson Hancock+106
W 9-0 at Seattle MarinersWSN: Trevor Williams • SEA: George Kirby+211
L 1-9 at Seattle MarinersWSN: Mitchell Parker • SEA: Logan Evans+158
L 3-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Robbie Ray • WSN: Michael Soroka+128
W 0-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kyle Harrison • WSN: Jake Irvin+140
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 10-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • ARI: Zac Gallen-130
L 9-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mike Burrows • ARI: Corbin Burnes-250
W 0-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andrew Heaney • ARI: Ryne Nelson-185
L 3-4 at St. Louis CardinalsARI: Brandon Pfaadt • STL: Sonny Gray+111
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsARI: Merrill Kelly • STL: Matthew Liberatore+109

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJosiah Gray60-day IL
  • PZach Brzykcy15-day IL
  • PDerek Law15-day IL
  • CFJacob Young10-day IL
  • PDJ Herz60-day IL
  • RFDylan Crews10-day IL
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PJordan MontgomeryOut for Season
  • PEduardo Rodriguez15-day IL
  • PBlake Walston60-day IL
  • 2BKetel MarteQuestionable
  • PA.J. Puk60-day IL
W 9 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)99°96°92°89°
Humidity12%12%14%16%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyClearMostly Clear
WindW 9 mphW 7 mphW 6 mphWSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+187+201+185+190+195+190+201+197.1
Diamondbacks-208-221-225-212-215-212-212-197.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+187+190+195+205+192+195+205+197.1
Diamondbacks-210-220-220-230-225-220-220-197.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +200 to +190
Diamondbacks ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 40.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Diamondbacks ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½-103+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-103+1½+100
Diamondbacks-1½-110-1½-113-1½-110-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½+100+1½-105+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100
Diamondbacks-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-120-1½-115-1½-115-1½-110-1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9½+102o9-125o9-123o9-120o9-123o9-120o9-112
Underu8½+100u9½-118u9+105u9+103u9+100u9+103u9½-118u9+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-120o9-125o9-125o9-130o9-120o9-120o9-112
Underu8½+100u9+100u9+105u9+105u9+110u9+100u9+110u9+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9½+100
The Under moved from u9-108 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120