Guardians at Red Sox

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
43.4%56.6%
Guardians WinRed Sox Win
3.73Projected Runs 4.42
4Final Score 6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Parker Messick (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.660.878

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2310-62.991.207

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • CLE: Tanner Bibee+102
W 3-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Gavin Williams+135
W 4-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Logan Allen+140
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Slade Cecconi+142
W 0-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • CLE: Parker Messick-114
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • BOS: Lucas Giolito-169
L 10-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle-110
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Garrett Crochet • BAL: Cade Povich-190
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Brayan Bello • BAL: Dietrich Enns-133

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
  • SSGabriel AriasQuestionable

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
E 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From RightModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°74°74°73°
Humidity58%59%59%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindE 9 mphE 8 mphE 8 mphE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+145+128+122+127+129+127+129+132.4
Red Sox-160-138-145-140-139-140-138-132.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+138+120+126+134+131+128+134+132.4
Red Sox-156-135-140-149-148-138-135-132.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +127 to +120
Red Sox ML moved from -141 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +135 to +129
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-160+1½-163+1½-170+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+147-1½+145-1½+143-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-130+1½-160+1½-170+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+140-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-113o8-120o8-113o8-120o8-113o8-113o8-103
Underu8½-105u8-103u8+100u8-107u8+100u8-107u8+100u8+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-115o8½+105o8½-105o8-110o8½-110o8-110o8-103
Underu8½-110u8-105u8½-125u8½-115u8-110u8½-110u8½-110u8+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105