Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
50.8%49.2%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
4.00Projected Runs 3.92
14Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Dustin May (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
196-84.931.365

Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-27.431.575

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosBOS: Garrett Crochet • HOU: Cristian Javier-153
L 2-6 at San Diego PadresBOS: Brayan Bello • SDP: Dylan Cease+131
L 4-5 at San Diego PadresBOS: Lucas Giolito • SDP: Michael King+122
W 10-2 at San Diego PadresBOS: Walker Buehler • SDP: Nick Pivetta+151
L 7-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • BOS: Dustin May-134
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Crochet • HOU: Cristian Javier+145
W 7-1 at New York YankeesHOU: Jason Alexander • NYY: Max Fried+195
L 4-5 at New York YankeesHOU: Framber Valdez • NYY: Luis Gil-102
W 5-3 at New York YankeesHOU: Hunter Brown • NYY: Cam Schlittler+105
L 4-6 at Miami MarlinsHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • MIA: Janson Junk-102

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • 2BMarcelo Mayer10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • -Josh Hader15-day IL
  • PLance McCullers Jr15-day IL
  • CFJake Meyers10-day IL
  • 3BIsaac Paredes10-day IL
ESE 4 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°86°85°84°
Humidity71%72%74%76%
Precipitation40%51%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindESE 4 mphSE 5 mphSSE 3 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+113-104-113-107-106-107-104-101.9
Astros-125-106-107-103-104-103-103+101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+105-105-104-103-102-106-102-101.9
Astros-115-110-108-112-108-104-104+101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -107 to -113
Astros ML moved from -110 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +102 to -103
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-195-1½+152-1½+155+1½-202+1½-210+1½-202+1½-184
Astros-1½+170+1½-168+1½-180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+184
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200+1½-200+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-184
Astros-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+184

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-103o9+100o8½-130o9-105o8½-130o9+100o8½-119
Underu8½+100u9-113u9-120u8½+110u9-115u8½+110u9-113u8½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o9-105o8½-120o9-105o9-105o8½-120o8½-119
Underu8½+100u9-115u9-115u8½+100u9-115u9-115u9-115u8½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+102 to o9-108
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-130 to o8½-145
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110