Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G3.5
46.2%53.8%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.18
8Final Score 0
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G3.5
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Cooper Criswell (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-14.261.579

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-13.441.527

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively+112
W 6-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: Martín Pérez+138
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Kutter Crawford • PIT: Mitch Keller+105
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Brayan Bello • PIT: Quinn Priester+104
L 5-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • BOS: Brennan Bernardino+102
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-120
W 2-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ross Stripling • CLE: Tanner Bibee-160
W 3-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Alex Wood • CLE: Logan Allen-176
W 2-10 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joe Boyle • CLE: Triston McKenzie-157
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Carlos Carrasco • BOS: Brennan Bernardino-107

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • 3BRafael DeversProbable
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PShane BieberOut for Season
  • PJames Karinchak60-day IL
  • -Trevor Stephan60-day IL
  • PSam Hentges15-day IL
  • 2BAngel Martinez60-day IL
  • PGavin Williams15-day IL
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
NNW 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)42°43°43°43°
Humidity68%66%65%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 11 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphN 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+122+117+108+113+114+113+117+117.5
Guardians-133-127-130-123-124-123-123-117.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+121+117+116+117+117+118+118+117.5
Guardians-139-127-127-132-127-128-127-117.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +122 to +113
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +126 to +120
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-178+1½-185+1½-183+1½-180+1½-183+1½-178+1½-170
Guardians-1½+155-1½+157-1½+160-1½+163-1½+160-1½+163-1½+163-1½+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-170+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170
Guardians-1½+150-1½+160-1½+163-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-108o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-108o8+100
Underu8½-105u8-108u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-120u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-106 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-125 to u7½-125