Diamondbacks at Red Sox

Updated

Arizona Diamondbacks

(66-61)
Rank11
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5
38.4%61.6%
Diamondbacks WinRed Sox Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.84
4Final Score 9

Boston Red Sox

(68-58)
Rank7
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8
Rank11
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5
Rank7
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
228-105.111.48

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
214-33.251.19

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 1-11 at Boston Red SoxARI: Mitch Bratt • BOS: Alec Gamboa+125
L 3-5 at Atlanta BravesARI: Michael Soroka • ATL: Bryce Elder+110
W 10-3 at Atlanta BravesARI: Eduardo Rodriguez • ATL: Grant Holmes+120
W 2-0 at Atlanta BravesARI: Brandon Pfaadt • ATL: Chris Sale+175
L 6-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • ARI: Merrill Kelly-169
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Mitch Bratt • BOS: Alec Gamboa-130
L 3-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Patrick Sandoval • PIT: Lake Bachar-110
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Sonny Gray • PIT: Jared Jones-115
L 4-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Jake Bennett • PIT: Bubba Chandler-115
W 7-0 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Payton Tolle • TOR: Max Scherzer-134

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • 3BNolan ArenadoRest
  • PA.J. PukOut for Season
  • PZac Gallen60-day IL
  • 2BKetel MarteOut
  • PRyan Thompson15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJustin Slaten15-day IL
  • CFJahmai JonesRest
  • 3BCurtis Mead10-day IL
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa60-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • PZack Kelly60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°73°72°71°
Humidity77%81%84%87%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindESE 7 mphESE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+140+156+145+154+156+154+156+160.3
Red Sox-155-172-177-171-166-171-166-160.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+146+150+153+154+150-+154+160.3
Red Sox-165-160-165-169-170--160-160.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +152 to +144
Red Sox ML moved from -161 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +155 to +146
Red Sox ML moved from -157 to -167

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-160+1½-141+1½-140+1½-140+1½-150+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+127-1½+120-1½+120-1½+130-1½+120-1½+130-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145-+1½-140+1½-128
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125--1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8-102o8-105o7½-117o7½-115o7½-117o7½-115o7½-106
Underu9-110u8-111u8-115u7½-103u7½-105u7½-103u8-111u7½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-115o7½-115o8+105o7½-115-o8+105o7½-106
Underu8½-115u7½-105u7½-105u8-125u7½-105-u7½-105u7½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-106 to u7½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125
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