Pirates at Mets

Updated
Rank22
R/G3.5
RA/G4.1
43.2%56.8%
Pirates WinMets Win
4.19Projected Runs 4.91
1Final Score 9
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank22
R/G3.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-04.20.933

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-13.01.4

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-3 at New York MetsPIT: Jared Jones • NYM: José Quintana-102
L 3-6 at New York MetsPIT: Martín Pérez • NYM: Adrian Houser+114
W 9-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Mitch Keller • PHI: Zack Wheeler+168
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Spencer Turnbull+144
W 5-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bailey Falter • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+148
New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • NYM: José Quintana-106
W 3-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Martín Pérez • NYM: Adrian Houser-121
W 1-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • NYM: José Butto+100
L 11-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • NYM: Sean Manaea-151
W 1-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • NYM: Luis Severino-130

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesUnknown
  • CJoey BartUnknown
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales15-day IL
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki15-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PTylor Megill15-day IL
  • PMax Kranick15-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezOut
  • 3BBrett BatyQuestionable
  • PKodai Senga60-day IL
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°59°58°56°
Humidity47%50%53%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%12%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 10 mphSE 10 mphSE 9 mphSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+121+141+136+135+141+135+141+139.9
Mets-132-153-162-147-151-147-147-139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+138+140+135+138+140+140+139.9
Mets-135-148-154-150-150-155-148-139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +130 to +124
Mets ML moved from -148 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +146 to +140
Mets ML moved from -152 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-158+1½-165+1½-163+1½-155+1½-163+1½-155+1½-151
Mets-1½+150-1½+142-1½+140-1½+143-1½+135-1½+143-1½+143-1½+151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-155+1½-159+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-151
Mets-1½+145-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-103o7½-110o8+107o8+105o8+107o7½-110o8+116
Underu8½-115u8-113u7½-110u8-127u8-125u8-127u8-113u8-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+116
Underu8½-115u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-118
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-115