Pirates at Phillies

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(14-19)
Rank23
R/G3.6
RA/G4.2
42.3%57.7%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.34
9Final Score 2

Philadelphia Phillies

(22-11)
Rank4
R/G4.6
RA/G3.8
Rank23
R/G3.6
RA/G4.2
Rank4
R/G4.6
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.291.588

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-21.890.895

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Spencer Turnbull+144
W 5-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bailey Falter • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+148
L 1-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Jared Jones • PHI: Ranger Suárez+123
L 5-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • PIT: Martín Pérez-117
W 4-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • PIT: Mitch Keller-122
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Spencer Turnbull-153
L 5-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-154
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • PHI: Ranger Suárez-128
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Aaron Nola • STL: Lance Lynn-132
L 0-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • STL: Sonny Gray-130

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMarco Gonzales15-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki15-day IL
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • LFEdward OlivaresRest

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon10-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker15-day IL
  • PDylan Covey15-day IL
  • -Luis Ortiz15-day IL
  • PMichael Rucker15-day IL
  • -Orion Kerkering15-day IL
SW 16 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
UnknownUnknown
 
Temp (°F)71°73°74°75°
Humidity36%35%34%35%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindSW 16 mphSW 17 mphSSW 18 mphSW 19 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+170+170+166+174+170+174+174+179.5
Phillies-186-186-202-190-180-190-180-179.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+164+165+168+168+164+165+168+179.5
Phillies-180-180-185-183-180-180-180-179.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +157 to +148
Phillies ML moved from -192 to -198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +160
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-133+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
Phillies-1½+115-1½+117-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+117-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-114
Phillies-1½+110-1½+115-1½+112-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-113o8½-125o8½-119o8½-120o8½-119o8½-113o8½-108
Underu8-105u8½-103u8½+105u8½-101u8½+100u8½-101u8½+105u8½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-125o9+110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o9+110o8½-108
Underu8-105u8½+105u9-130u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+105u8½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110
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