Cleveland at Chicago Cubs

Updated
42.5%
Projected Runs: 3.75
Final Score: 5

Carlos Carrasco (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-43.121.286
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 5-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Michael Pineda+126
L 4-8 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Rich Hill-105
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Kenta Maeda-112
L 11-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-220
L 3-0 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Danny Duffy • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-205

Injuries

Status
  • 2BCesar HernandezRest
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
  • PJefry Rodriguez45-day IL

Chicago Cubs

(30-20)
57.5%
Projected Runs: 4.54
Final Score: 6

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
97-21.770.875
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 12-0 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Alec Mills • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Brent Suter-105
L 0-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jon Lester • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+156
W 5-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Sonny Gray • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+115
L 3-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Trevor Bauer • CHC: Yu Darvish-150

Injuries

Status
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
  • LFCameron MaybinQuestionable
  • PTyler Chatwood10-day IL
SSW 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°72°70°68°
Humidity62%65%70%73%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Cleveland+140+146+140+141+150+141+150
Chicago Cubs-152-156-160-153-165-153-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Cleveland+132+142+140+142+140+144+144
Chicago Cubs-142-152-154-152-155-154-152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 30.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland ML moved from +143 to +137
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland ML moved from +145 to +137
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -147 to -154

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Cleveland+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-147+1½-145+1½-147+1½-145
Chicago Cubs-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+127-1½+127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Cleveland+1½-160+1½-150+1½-151+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145
Chicago Cubs-1½+140-1½+130-1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+132

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo7½-110o8-120o8-115o8-122o8-120o8-122o8-115
Underu7½-110u8+100u8-105u8+102u8+100u8+102u8+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-110o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115
Underu8½-110u8+100u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8+100