Guardians at Twins

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(18-7)
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
49.7%50.3%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.71Projected Runs 3.73
1Final Score 3

Minnesota Twins

(11-13)
Rank14
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
97-01.250.85

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-12.770.719

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 11-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-220
L 3-0 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Danny Duffy • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-205
L 8-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jakob Junis • CLE: Triston McKenzie-200
W 2-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • CLE: Zach Plesac-210
W 1-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • CLE: Shane Bieber-260
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 4-6 at St. Louis CardinalsMIN: Randy Dobnak • STL: Daniel Ponce De Leon-138
W 7-3 at St. Louis CardinalsMIN: Jose Berrios • STL: Carlos Martinez-124
W 2-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Fulmer • MIN: Michael Pineda-200
L 10-8 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • MIN: Rich Hill-182
W 3-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • MIN: Kenta Maeda-280

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
  • PJefry Rodriguez45-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BLuis Arraez10-day IL
  • CAlex Avila10-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-120-115-116-115-120-116-115-
Twins+110-105+106+105+110+106+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-105--116-112-115-118-112-
Twins-105-+106+102+105+108+108-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Twins ML moved from +104 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -110 to -118
Twins ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-
Twins+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-230--1½+146-1½+155-1½+140+1½-245-
Twins-1½+200-+1½-165+1½-175+1½-160-1½+215-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105-
Underu7+105u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+100-o6½-113o6½-120o6½-105o6½-110o6½-105-
Underu7-120-u6½-107u6½+100u6½-115u6½-110u6½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-125 to u6½-115
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