Phillies at Cubs

Updated

Philadelphia Phillies

(15-8)
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
44.2%55.8%
Phillies WinCubs Win
4.50Projected Runs 5.10
13Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(13-9)
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Matt Moore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-15.791.671

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-54.321.428

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 11-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • PHI: Vince Velasquez+122
W 2-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • PHI: Zach Eflin+143
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Chris Paddack • PHI: Zack Wheeler-114
L 11-6 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jordan Holloway • PHI: Aaron Nola-220
W 3-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Vince Velasquez-103
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Wade Miley+108
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • CIN: Tyler Mahle+115
L 1-2 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Sonny Gray+136
L 7-15 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jake Arrieta • MIL: Aaron Ashby+144
L 1-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Zach Davies • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+215

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • LFMatt Joyce10-day IL
  • PSam Coonrod10-day IL
  • LFAndrew McCutchenUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFIan HappRest
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerUnknown
  • CJose Lobaton60-day IL
  • 3BMatt Duffy60-day IL
  • CP.J. HigginsOut for Season
  • RFJason HeywardRest
WSW 13 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°81°79°
Humidity61%67%74%79%
Precipitation0%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearHumidHumid
WindWSW 13 mphWSW 12 mphWSW 11 mphSW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+125+138+140+143+145+143+145-
Cubs-135-153-160-155-155-155-153-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+124+140+135+140+144+140+144-
Cubs-136-150-148-150-157-150-148-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 40.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +141 to +135
Cubs ML moved from -145 to -151

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +135 to +129
Cubs ML moved from -144 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-160+1½-130+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130-
Cubs-1½+140-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-146+1½-135+1½-138+1½-140+1½-145+1½-135+1½-135-
Cubs-1½+128-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+115-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-120o11-114o11-115o11-117o11-117o11-117o11-114-
Underu10½+100u11-106u11-105u11-103u11-103u11-103u11-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-110o11-120o11-115o11-120o11-120o11-120o11-115-
Underu11-110u11+100u11-105u11+100u11+100u11+100u11+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-115 to o11-125
The Under moved from u11+100 to u11-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-115 to o11-120
No Steam Moves On Under
White Sox at Twins
Tigers at Rangers