Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
46.8%53.2%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.41Projected Runs 4.75
1Final Score 2
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-15.111.595

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-43.421.3

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 7-15 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jake Arrieta • MIL: Aaron Ashby+144
L 1-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Zach Davies • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+215
L 4-14 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Freddy Peralta+136
L 1-7 at Los Angeles DodgersCHC: Adbert Alzolay • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+185
L 2-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCHC: Alec Mills • LAD: Julio Urias+185
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • CIN: Luis Castillo-124
L 7-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+171
L 5-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Craig Stammen • CIN: Tony Santillan+128
W 4-12 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • CIN: Wade Miley-155
L 4-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Muller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-136

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CJose Lobaton60-day IL
  • 1BAnthony RizzoUnknown
  • 3BMatt Duffy60-day IL
  • CP.J. HigginsOut for Season
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • 1BPatrick WisdomQuestionable

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLucas Sims10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinUnknown
N 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To RightModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°74°71°69°
Humidity51%56%63%67%
Precipitation0%1%0%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearClear
WindN 7 mphN 6 mphN 5 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+148+131+130+132+133+132+133-
Reds-160-145-150-143-143-143-143-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+145+135+132+135+129+136+136-
Reds-159-145-145-145-140-146-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +146 to +139
Reds ML moved from -141 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +132 to +126
Reds ML moved from -152 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-135+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-144+1½-144+1½-140-
Reds-1½+115-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124-1½+124-1½+125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-133+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145-
Reds-1½+115-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10+100o10-105o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o10+100-
Underu9½+100u10-120u10-115u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120-
Underu9½-110u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-105
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u10-110 to u9½-105