Houston at Tampa Bay

Updated

VS

50.5%
Projected Runs: 4.18
Final Score: 4
49.5%
Projected Runs: 4.13
Final Score: 5

Pitching

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-00.870.823

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-17.251.299

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-1 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Jose Urquidy • TBR: Josh Fleming-108
W 9-2 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Lance McCullers • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-124
L 1-0 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • HOU: Luis Garcia-155
W 5-7 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Justin Dunn • HOU: Zack Greinke-210
W 0-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • HOU: Cristian Javier-190
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • TBR: Josh Fleming+102
L 9-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough+116
L 3-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Chris Bassitt • TBR: Shane McClanahan-110
W 0-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Cole Irvin • TBR: Tyler Glasnow-170
W 3-4 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Frankie Montas • TBR: Michael Wacha-110

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • PBlake Taylor10-day IL
  • PEnoli Paredes10-day IL
  • PPedro Baez60-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PRyan SherriffOut
  • PChaz Roe60-day IL
  • PCody Reed10-day IL
  • RFManuel MargotRest
  • PRich Hill10-day IL
  • PChris Mazza10-day IL
  • CMike ZuninoRest
  • PPeter Fairbanks10-day IL
  • PCollin McHugh10-day IL
  • PChris Archer10-day IL
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Brian Gorman
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireStrong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Houston-137-126-130-124-124-124-124
Tampa Bay+117+114+110+114+114+114+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Houston-136-125-118-128-130-125-125
Tampa Bay+124+115+108+118+120+115+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston ML moved from -121 to -127
Tampa Bay ML moved from +119 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston ML moved from -119 to -127
Tampa Bay ML moved from +117 to +108

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Houston-1½+120-1½+130-1½+125-1½+123-1½+123-1½+123-1½+130
Tampa Bay+1½-140+1½-150+1½-145+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Houston-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135
Tampa Bay+1½-138+1½-145+1½-146+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8-120o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110
Underu8+100u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo7½-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-110
Underu7½-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under