Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.7
RA/G4.7
40.3%59.7%
Cubs WinReds Win
3.84Projected Runs 4.86
12Final Score 13
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank7
R/G5.7
RA/G4.7
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-24.441.521

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-11.750.974

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-2 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Zach Davies • CIN: Luis Castillo+148
L 6-8 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Jake Arrieta • CIN: Wade Miley+111
W 9-3 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Adbert Alzolay • ATL: Bryse Wilson+120
L 0-10 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • ATL: Huascar Ynoa+124
L 0-5 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Trevor Williams • ATL: Ian Anderson+153
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • CIN: Luis Castillo-155
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jake Arrieta • CIN: Wade Miley-118
L 0-8 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Sonny Gray • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+190
W 6-5 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Jeff Hoffman • LAD: Walker Buehler+237
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Tyler Mahle • LAD: Julio Urias+170

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PShelby Miller10-day IL
  • LFJoc Pederson10-day IL
  • CAustin Romine10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder60-day IL
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFJesse WinkerUnknown
  • RFAristides Aquino60-day IL
  • 3BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
SW 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°79°80°79°
Humidity41%38%36%36%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercastOvercast
WindSW 10 mphSW 11 mphSW 12 mphSW 12 mph
Shane Livensparger
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+152+148+143+146+148+146+148-
Reds-165-165-166-158-158-158-158-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+138+152+146+148+150+152+152-
Reds-148-165-160-158-165-162-158-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +140 to +131
Reds ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +135 to +128
Reds ML moved from -161 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155+1½-130+1½-135+1½-137+1½-137+1½-137+1½-130-
Reds-1½+135-1½+110-1½+115-1½+117-1½+117-1½+117-1½+117-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-135+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135-
Reds-1½+130-1½+115-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+110o8½-125o8½-125o8½-125o8½-125o9+110-
Underu9-110u9-130u8½+105u8½+105u8½+105u8½+105u8½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu9-120u8½-105u9-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-101 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110