Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
39.2%60.8%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.62Projected Runs 4.76
1Final Score 5
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.380.75

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2710-82.911.056

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Triston McKenzie+148
W 2-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Dylan Bundy-165
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray-194
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • MIN: Joe Ryan-177
L 4-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Josh Winder+136
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Triston McKenzie-151
L 8-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+138
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • CLE: Cal Quantrill-108
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • CLE: Cody Morris-118
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • CLE: Konnor Pilkington-109

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFAlex Kirilloff60-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • PCole SandsUnknown
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • PZach PlesacUnknown
SSW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°81°82°82°
Humidity56%52%54%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 8 mphSW 8 mph
Rob Drake
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+150+171+165+174+169+174+174+178.5
Guardians-160-185-200-189-189-189-185-178.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+156+180+176+158+176+170+180+178.5
Guardians-166-200-195-190-195-185-185-178.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +170 to +161
Guardians ML moved from -194 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +158 to +150
Guardians ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-138+1½-133+1½-135+1½-133+1½-133+1½-133+1½-133+1½-124
Guardians-1½+122-1½+117-1½+115-1½+113-1½+113-1½+113-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-140+1½-135+1½-128+1½-140+1½-130+1½-135+1½-128+1½-124
Guardians-1½+120-1½+115-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-108o7½+102o7½+100o7½+100o7½+104o7½+100o7½+104o7½+109
Underu7½-108u7½-118u7½-120u7½-120u7½-124u7½-120u7½-118u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7-125o7-115o7½+100o7½-105o7-115o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7+105u7-105u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7-105