Guardians at Royals

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G3.6
43.0%57.0%
Guardians WinRoyals Win
3.36Projected Runs 4.10
4Final Score 0
Rank17
R/G4.6
RA/G3.3
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G3.6
Rank17
R/G4.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-16.271.714

Danny Duffy (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
54-10.60.967

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-4 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Brady Singer-154
W 7-3 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Phil Maton • KCR: Mike Minor+129
W 8-6 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Aaron Civale • KCR: Daniel Lynch-112
W 5-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Lucas Giolito+150
L 3-7 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Triston McKenzie • CHW: Lance Lynn+161
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Brady Singer+145
L 7-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Phil Maton • KCR: Mike Minor-133
L 8-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • KCR: Daniel Lynch+105
L 4-13 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brad Keller • MIN: Jose Berrios+195
W 11-3 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Danny Duffy • MIN: Matt Shoemaker+135

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PNick WittgrenOut
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PDaniel Tillo60-day IL
  • CCam GallagherUnknown
  • PJesse Hahn10-day IL
  • PKyle Zimmer10-day IL
NNW 13 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)58°60°63°65°
Humidity53%46%39%35%
Precipitation0%0%1%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindNNW 13 mphNNW 12 mphNNW 12 mphNNW 12 mph
David Rackley
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireStrong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+124+122+120+124+124+124+124-
Royals-134-135-140-134-134-134-134-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+123+120+120+125+120+125-
Royals-130-133-131-130-135-130-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +125 to +117
Royals ML moved from -120 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +117 to +110
Royals ML moved from -130 to -138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-166+1½-165+1½-166+1½-165-
Royals-1½+145-1½+151-1½+145-1½+146-1½+145-1½+146-1½+151-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160-
Royals-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-115o8-110o8-116o8-116o8-116o8-110-
Underu8½-105u8-105u8-110u8-104u8-104u8-104u8-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-120o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110-
Underu8½+100u8+100u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-104 to o8-112
The Under moved from u8-113 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115