Red Sox at Yankees

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
42.2%57.8%
Red Sox WinYankees Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.60
3Final Score 4

New York Yankees

(94-68)
Rank2
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank2
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2811-93.351.236

Carlos Rodon (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3318-93.091.049

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Garrett Crochet • NYY: Max Fried+126
W 3-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Chris Paddack • BOS: José De León+100
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Keider Montero • BOS: Connelly Early-110
W 3-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • BOS: Kyle Harrison-115
L 1-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Louie Varland+121
New York Yankees
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Crochet • NYY: Max Fried-123
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • NYY: Luis Gil-161
W 1-6 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • NYY: Cam Schlittler-230
W 4-8 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • NYY: Will Warren-132
W 3-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • NYY: Carlos Rodon-300

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PKutter CrawfordOut for Season
  • PJordan Hicks15-day IL
  • 2BVaughn GrissomOut for Season
  • PDustin May15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PHunter DobbinsOut for Season
  • PLiam HendriksOut for Season
  • PLucas GiolitoOut

New York Yankees

Status
  • PClarke SchmidtOut for Season
  • PChase HamptonOut for Season
  • PJonathan LoaisigaOut for Season
  • PJake CousinsOut for Season
N 9 mph
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°65°62°60°
Humidity43%49%54%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 9 mphN 7 mphN 8 mphNNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+152+180+175+177+185+177+185+183.7
Yankees-168-198-215-197-200-197-197-183.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+153+185+176+180+177+180+185+183.7
Yankees-168-210-197-200-205-200-197-183.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +152 to +145
Yankees ML moved from -189 to -198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +188 to +176
Yankees ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-123+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-118+1½-107
Yankees-1½+120-1½+107-1½+100-1½-102-1½+100-1½-102-1½+107-1½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-107
Yankees-1½+120-1½+100-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½-105-1½+105-1½+107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-103o7½-113o7½-105o7½-109o7½+100o7½-109o7½+100o7½+101
Underu7½-113u7½-103u7½-115u7½-111u7½-120u7½-111u7½-103u7½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-105o7½-110o7½-120o7½-105o7½+101
Underu7+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½-115u7½-110u7½+100u7½+100u7½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
No Steam Moves On Under
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