Guardians at Reds

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(18-7)
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
45.3%54.7%
Guardians WinReds Win
3.87Projected Runs 4.37
2Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(14-11)
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-04.71.304

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 3-10 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman+110
W 4-2 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Aaron Civale • CHW: Lance Lynn+145
L 0-8 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Carlos Rodon+104
W 2-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Shane Bieber • CHW: Lucas Giolito+105
L 3-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Triston McKenzie • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+115
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-116
L 0-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Johnny Cueto-112
L 6-7 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Luis Castillo • SFG: Kevin Gausman+102
W 3-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Wade Miley • SFG: Aaron Sanchez+100
L 0-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Jose De Leon • ARI: Luke Weaver-105

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCam Hill60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
  • PBrandon Bailey60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • 2BMike MoustakasRest
NW 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)56°55°55°56°
Humidity65%68%67%68%
Precipitation12%11%12%13%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNW 7 mphNW 6 mphNW 5 mphWSW 5 mph
Pat Hoberg
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+126+125+124+124+124+126-
Reds-140-140-145-134-134-134-134-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+116+130+126+130+130+127+130-
Reds-127-140-138-140-145-137-137-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +141 to +135
Reds ML moved from -137 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +135 to +127
Reds ML moved from -138 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-175+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160-
Reds-1½+155-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-178+1½-160+1½-166+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160-
Reds-1½+158-1½+140-1½+147-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-117o8-115o8-117o8-117o8-117o8-115-
Underu8½-110u8-103u8-105u8-103u8-103u8-103u8-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110-
Underu8½-115u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-117
The Under moved from u8-104 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-102 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110
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