Red Sox at Brewers

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
46.9%53.1%
Red Sox WinBrewers Win
4.39Projected Runs 4.71
4Final Score 5
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.8
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Garrett Whitlock (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.51.083

Wade Miley (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-11.50.944

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-3 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Nick Pivetta • MIL: Freddy Peralta+155
W 5-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck-112
L 10-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber+130
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale+107
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • BOS: Brayan Bello+126
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • MIL: Freddy Peralta-168
W 5-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Eric Lauer • SEA: Marco Gonzales+124
W 6-5 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Colin Rea • SEA: Logan Gilbert+145
W 7-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SEA: Chris Flexen-138
W 1-0 at San Diego PadresMIL: Wade Miley • SDP: Yu Darvish+155

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • LFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PAaron Ashby60-day IL
  • PJustin Wilson60-day IL
  • 3BLuis Urias60-day IL
  • PCorbin BurnesUnknown
  • -Gus VarlandUnknown
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • PAdrian HouserUnknown
WNW 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)43°42°41°39°
Humidity61%62%65%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 8 mphW 7 mphW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+105+117+108+114+116+114+117+118.5
Brewers-115-126-130-124-126-124-124-118.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+105+118+116+112+112+115+118+118.5
Brewers-115-128-127-125-122-125-122-118.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +118 to +110
Brewers ML moved from -119 to -126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +118 to +109
Brewers ML moved from -122 to -128

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-190+1½-183+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-167
Brewers-1½+165-1½+162-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+162-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-167
Brewers-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+152-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-108o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-108o8½-104
Underu9-120u8½-108u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-110o8½-118o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½+100u8½-110u8½-102u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115