Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
54.8%45.2%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
4.19Projected Runs 3.69
4Final Score 5
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-00.531.0

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-111.252.083

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 0-2 at New York YankeesMIN: Pablo Lopez • NYY: Gerrit Cole+147
L 1-6 at New York YankeesMIN: Tyler Mahle • NYY: Domingo German+127
W 4-3 at New York YankeesMIN: Louie Varland • NYY: Nestor Cortes+163
W 11-2 at New York YankeesMIN: Joe Ryan • NYY: Jhony Brito+129
W 1-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • MIN: Sonny Gray-140
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • BOS: Brayan Bello+126
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-102
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Tyler Anderson • BOS: Nick Pivetta+110
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • BOS: Tanner Houck+104
L 3-9 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Corey Kluber • TBR: Jeffrey Springs+225

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • CFGilberto Celestino60-day IL
  • PRonny HenriquezUnknown
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • PJosh WinderUnknown
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaQuestionable

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • LFZack KellyUnknown
  • LFMasataka YoshidaUnknown
W 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)53°51°49°48°
Humidity48%53%57%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 9 mphW 6 mphW 6 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-115-110-115-112-104-112-104-106.7
Red Sox+105+102-105+102-106+102+102+106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-112-114-114-115-114-117-114-106.7
Red Sox+102+104+104+105+104+107+107+106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +101 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -102 to -111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -110 to -116
Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-163+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+145-1½+140-1½+141-1½+143-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+153
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-170+1½-165+1½-155+1½-155+1½-153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o8½-118o8½-120o8½-122o8½-120o8½-122o8½-118o8½-111
Underu9½-115u8½+102u8½+100u8½+102u8½+100u8½+102u8½+102u8½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-120o9+105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+105o8½-111
Underu9-105u8½+100u9-125u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-113 to o8½-123
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105