Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
34.2%65.8%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.98Projected Runs 5.61
2Final Score 12
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

John Gant (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-73.771.517

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-01.81.2

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 9-6 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Nick Pivetta+146
L 9-11 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Griffin Jax • BOS: Tanner Houck+198
L 1-7 at New York YankeesMIN: Kenta Maeda • NYY: Gerrit Cole+221
L 2-10 at New York YankeesMIN: Charlie Barnes • NYY: Nestor Cortes+220
L 5-7 at New York YankeesMIN: John Gant • NYY: Jameson Taillon+210
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Nick Pivetta-151
W 9-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Griffin Jax • BOS: Tanner Houck-215
W 4-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kolby Allard • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-290
L 10-1 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jordan Lyles • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-320
W 0-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • BOS: Chris Sale-292

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • PKenta Maeda10-day IL
  • CMitch GarverRest
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • 2BJorge PolancoRest
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFHunter RenfroeOut
  • SSXander BogaertsRest
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
NW 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°85°82°82°
Humidity63%71%72%79%
Precipitation0%2%2%1%
ConditionHumidHumidHumidHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindNW 5 mphSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSW 6 mph
Chris Guccione
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+279-+235+239+228+239+239-
Red Sox-315--285-268-268-268-268-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+255+240+224+240+240+224+240-
Red Sox-310-280-250-280-280-254-250-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +245 to +230
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +230 to +224
Red Sox ML moved from -267 to -273

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½+140-+1½+130+1½+126+1½+126+1½+126+1½+130-
Red Sox-1½-160--1½-150-1½-146-1½-146-1½-146-1½-146-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½+140+1½+120+1½+115+1½+130+1½+130+1½+115+1½+130-
Red Sox-1½-160-1½-140-1½-133-1½-150-1½-150-1½-135-1½-133-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+100-o10-105o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-105-
Underu10-120-u10-115u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10-115o9½-120o10-115o10-105o10-105o10-105-
Underu9½-105u10-105u9½+100u10-105u10-115u10-115u10-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-103 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-115
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-115