Orioles at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
47.9%52.1%
Orioles WinGuardians Win
4.07Projected Runs 4.29
3Final Score 6
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Zach Eflin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
126-55.951.435

Joey Cantillo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-04.171.439

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 5-10 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • CLE: Tanner Bibee+125
W 5-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Trevor Rogers • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+110
L 3-4 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Dean Kremer • TBR: Zack Littell+111
L 1-11 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Charlie Morton • TBR: Taj Bradley+111
L 11-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • BAL: Brandon Young-134
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-10 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • CLE: Tanner Bibee-134
W 2-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Jeffrey Springs • CLE: Gavin Williams+100
L 8-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Severino • CLE: Logan Allen-125
W 6-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: JP Sears • CLE: Slade Cecconi-121
W 6-5 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Joey Cantillo • CHW: Aaron Civale-132

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • SSJorge Mateo10-day IL
  • 1BRyan Mountcastle10-day IL
  • CGary Sanchez10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSGabriel Arias15-day IL
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
NNE 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°74°72°
Humidity52%56%60%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 11 mphNE 10 mphNE 8 mphNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+118+141+137+139+141+139+141+144.5
Guardians-130-153-163-153-151-153-151-144.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+111+140+139+145+136+143+145+144.5
Guardians-125-155-155-160-154-158-154-144.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +139 to +131
Guardians ML moved from -158 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +147 to +139
Guardians ML moved from -150 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-180+1½-153+1½-160+1½-153+1½-155+1½-153+1½-153+1½-141
Guardians-1½+155-1½+137-1½+135-1½+133-1½+135-1½+133-1½+137-1½+141
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-180+1½-150+1½-155+1½-140+1½-155+1½-150+1½-140+1½-141
Guardians-1½+160-1½+130-1½+135-1½+120-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+141

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-108o8-105o8-107o8-115o8-107o8-105o8+103
Underu8½-105u8-108u8-115u8-113u8-105u8-113u8-105u8-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-115o8-110o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-110o8+103
Underu8½-105u8-105u8-110u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-118
The Under moved from u8-107 to u8-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8+100