Brewers at Pirates

Updated
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.1
56.5%43.5%
Brewers WinPirates Win
4.88Projected Runs 4.19
6Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Josh Lindblom (RHP)

primary
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-04.151.269

Derek Holland (LHP)

primary
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-18.271.531

Last 4 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Steven Brault-165
L 1-9 at Chicago CubsMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Tyler Chatwood-104
W 8-3 at Chicago CubsMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Yu Darvish+140
L 0-3 at Chicago CubsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+105
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 6-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Steven Brault+160
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Dakota Hudson+130
L 1-9 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Trevor Williams • STL: Adam Wainwright+142
L 4-5 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Joe Musgrove • STL: Jack Flaherty+169

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PAngel Perdomo10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PChris Archer60-day IL
  • PHector NoesiOut for Season
  • LFKevin Kramer60-day IL
  • PJameson Taillon60-day IL
  • SSJT Riddle10-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
NNW 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)85°83°82°80°
Humidity41%43%46%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 2 mphNNW 1 mphNNW 3 mphSW 4 mph
Jeff Nelson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-150-194-185-177-177-185-177-
Pirates+139+167+170+167+162+170+170-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-145-185-177-180-180-180-177-
Pirates+135+168+161+165+160+165+168-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -190 to -200
Pirates ML moved from +173 to +166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -180 to -190
Pirates ML moved from +167 to +161

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+105-1½-135-1½-135-1½-130-1½-130-1½-135-1½-130-
Pirates+1½-125+1½+115+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115+1½+115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+110-1½-130-1½-122-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-
Pirates+1½-130+1½+110+1½+104+1½+105+1½+105+1½+100+1½+110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-105o10+105o10-105-o10+105o10+105-
Underu9½-110u10-115u10-125u10-115-u10-125u10-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-105o10+105o10-105o10-105o10-110o10+105-
Underu9½-110u10-115u10-125u10-115u10-115u10-110u10-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115