Red Sox at Braves

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(26-34)
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
40.8%59.2%
Red Sox WinBraves Win
3.44Projected Runs 4.41
1Final Score 8

Atlanta Braves

(42-20)
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-46.461.74

Grant Holmes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-14.351.31

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-2 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Payton Tolle • ATL: Bryce Elder+107
L 2-3 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Connelly Early • ATL: Spencer Strider+134
L 3-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesús Luzardo • BOS: Ranger Suarez-114
W 1-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Andrew Painter • BOS: Sonny Gray-120
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • BOS: Jovani Moran+125
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Payton Tolle • ATL: Bryce Elder-114
W 2-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Connelly Early • ATL: Spencer Strider-140
L 2-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • ATL: Chris Sale-200
W 1-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: JR Ritchie+123
W 2-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • ATL: Grant Holmes-118

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Crochet15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PDanny Coulombe15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFEli WhiteUnknown
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.10-day IL
  • CSean Murphy10-day IL
SSE 9 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)84°85°86°85°
Humidity55%56%53%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%43%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 10 mphSSE 10 mphSSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+131+123+120+127+131+127+131+132.4
Braves-145-132-143-140-141-140-132-132.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+135+125+123+134+125+125+134+132.4
Braves-155-135-137-149-140-140-135-132.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +127 to +121
Braves ML moved from -132 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +133 to +127
Braves ML moved from -150 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-161+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
Braves-1½+140-1½+142-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+142-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-155+1½-165+1½-150+1½-165+1½-165+1½-150+1½-143
Braves-1½+130-1½+135-1½+145-1½+130-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o8½-106o8½-110o8½-112o8½-115o8½-112o8½-106o8½-102
Underu9½-105u8½-106u8½-110u8½-108u8½-105u8½-108u8½-105u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-102
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-114 to o8½-122
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100
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