Mets at Pirates

Updated

New York Mets

(10-8)
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
52.1%47.9%
Mets WinPirates Win
4.74Projected Runs 4.51
7Final Score 14

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Tylor Megill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-34.41.618

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-54.411.378

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 10-13 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Justin Verlander • ATL: Spencer Strider+170
L 5-7 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Charlie Morton+115
L 4-6 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Bryce Elder+150
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • NYM: Kodai Senga-137
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • NYM: Tylor Megill+118
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 9-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Hogan Harris • PIT: Roansy Contreras-169
L 11-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: James Kaprielian • PIT: Mitch Keller-275
W 4-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: JP Sears • PIT: Johan Oviedo-180
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • PIT: Rich Hill+135
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • PIT: Luis Ortiz+130

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 1BPete Alonso10-day IL
  • 3BBrett BatyRest
  • CFTim Locastro60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
NNW 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°68°64°61°
Humidity40%42%49%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearClearClear
WindNNW 9 mphNNW 6 mphNNW 4 mphNNW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-124+106+100+102+105+102+106+106.7
Pirates+114-115-120-112-115-112-112-106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-125+104+103+105+104+102+105+106.7
Pirates+112-114-113-115-114-118-113-106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +100 to -105
Pirates ML moved from -109 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +112 to +104
Pirates ML moved from -114 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+130+1½-188+1½-195+1½-183+1½-190+1½-183+1½-183+1½-170
Pirates+1½-150-1½+167-1½+165-1½+163-1½+165-1½+163-1½+167-1½+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+130+1½-200+1½-190-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150+1½-170
Pirates+1½-155-1½+175-1½+168+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180-1½+170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-117o9½+102o9½+100o9½+101o9½+100o9½+101o9½+102o9½+110
Underu9-103u9½-118u9½-120u9½-121u9½-120u9½-121u9½-118u9½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-125o9-130o9½+100o9-125o9-125o9½+100o9½+110
Underu9-105u9+105u9+110u9½-120u9+105u9+105u9+110u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+110 to u9-105
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