Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
39.8%60.2%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.38
10Final Score 13
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.251.139

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
126-22.971.005

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 5-7 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Charlie Morton+115
L 4-6 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Bryce Elder+150
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • NYM: Kodai Senga-137
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • NYM: Tylor Megill+118
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • NYM: Justin Verlander-125
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 5-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Charlie Morton-120
W 4-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Bryce Elder-160
W 8-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Mike Soroka • ARI: Zac Gallen+119
W 5-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Spencer Strider • ARI: Ryne Nelson-240
L 2-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Merrill Kelly-111

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 1BPete AlonsoUnknown
  • CFTim Locastro60-day IL
  • DHDaniel VogelbachRest
  • LFMark CanhaRest
  • COmar NarvaezUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMax Fried60-day IL
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • CSean MurphyRest
  • PMichael TonkinUnknown
  • PDylan LeeUnknown
NNW 9 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°79°75°73°
Humidity36%38%42%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNNW 9 mphN 8 mphN 6 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+143+170+153+162+170+162+170+167.1
Braves-155-184-185-176-180-176-176-167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+145+162+165+162+170+160+170+167.1
Braves-172-177-182-195-188-190-177-167.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +176 to +168
Braves ML moved from -182 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +175 to +165
Braves ML moved from -185 to -193

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-145+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Braves-1½+125-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+107-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-140+1½-120+1½-126+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Braves-1½+118-1½+100-1½+108-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+108-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-103o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-113u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-105o8½-105o8-120o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8-105u8½-115u8½-115u8+100u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115