Cubs at Nationals

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(92-70)
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
59.3%40.7%
Cubs WinNationals Win
5.61Projected Runs 4.62
8Final Score 3
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6

Pitching

Cade Horton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-03.981.23

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-55.691.446

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • CHC: Jameson Taillon-154
W 0-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Drew Pomeranz-165
L 6-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Colin Rea-158
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Tanner Gordon • CHC: Matthew Boyd-346
W 3-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Germán Márquez • CHC: Cade Horton-300
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Mitchell Parker • ARI: Corbin Burnes+200
W 11-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Michael Soroka • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+168
W 9-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Jake Irvin • ARI: Merrill Kelly+205
W 9-3 at Seattle MarinersWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SEA: Emerson Hancock+106
W 9-0 at Seattle MarinersWSN: Trevor Williams • SEA: George Kirby+211

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFKyle TuckerRest
  • PShota Imanaga15-day IL
  • -Porter Hodge15-day IL
  • CMiguel Amaya10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJosiah Gray60-day IL
  • RFDylan Crews10-day IL
  • PDJ Herz60-day IL
  • CFJacob Young10-day IL
  • PZach Brzykcy15-day IL
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL
  • PDerek Law15-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°78°75°71°
Humidity45%50%58%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 5 mphSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-135-136-142-132-136-132-132-125.2
Nationals+122+126+119+120+126+120+126+125.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-140-140-135-142-155-144-135-125.2
Nationals+125+125+121+127+137+132+132+125.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -154 to -162
Nationals ML moved from +127 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -145 to -152
Nationals ML moved from +132 to +121

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+105-1½+122-1½+115-1½+130-1½+115-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Nationals+1½-125+1½-138+1½-135+1½-150+1½-135+1½-150+1½-135+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+138
Nationals+1½-140+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9½+102o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+102o9½+109
Underu9+105u9½-118u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-118u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½+100o9-125o9½+100o9-125o9½+100o9-125o9½+109
Underu9+100u9½-120u9+105u9½-120u9+105u9½-120u9+105u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under