Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
55.9%44.1%
Padres WinPirates Win
5.03Projected Runs 4.41
8Final Score 3
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-15.631.5

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.51.5

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 1-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Joe Musgrove • PIT: Tyler Anderson-190
L 4-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Blake Snell • PIT: Chad Kuhl-233
W 6-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Yu Darvish • PIT: Trevor Cahill-195
W 2-0 at Texas RangersSDP: Adrian Morejon • TEX: Mike Foltynewicz-160
W 7-4 at Texas RangersSDP: Chris Paddack • TEX: Jordan Lyles-150
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • PIT: Tyler Anderson+180
W 4-8 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • PIT: Chad Kuhl+215
L 6-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • PIT: Trevor Cahill+180
W 1-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Trevor Williams • PIT: JT Brubaker+122
W 2-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • PIT: Mitch Keller+147

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PTaylor Williams10-day IL
  • CFJorge Ona10-day IL
  • SSJavy Guerra60-day IL
  • PDan Altavilla10-day IL
  • SSFernando Tatis Jr.10-day IL
  • PMatt Strahm10-day IL
  • CAustin Nola10-day IL
  • PAdrian Morejon10-day IL
  • PMichel Baez60-day IL
  • PTrey Wingenter60-day IL
  • CFTommy PhamRest
  • PMike Clevinger60-day IL
  • RFWil MyersUnknown
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PAustin Davis60-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • PCody Ponce10-day IL
  • CFCole TuckerRest
  • PJose Soriano60-day IL
WNW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
UnknownVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)47°48°48°48°
Humidity50%48%48%53%
Precipitation2%2%2%3%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 10 mph
Brennan Miller
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-184-150-150-146-146-146-146-
Pirates+169+135+130+135+136+135+136-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-180-147-149-150-145-145-145-
Pirates+165+137+136+140+130+135+140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Pirates ML moved from +148 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -143 to -149
Pirates ML moved from +147 to +140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-
Pirates+1½-110+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-110-1½+105-1½+111-1½+110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+111-
Pirates+1½-110+1½-125+1½-129+1½-130+1½-120+1½-130+1½-120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½+105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+105-
Underu8+100u7½-125u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100-
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-142 to o7½-147
The Under moved from u7½+124 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115