Cubs at Pirates

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
59.1%40.9%
Cubs WinPirates Win
5.09Projected Runs 4.13
2Final Score 8
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-03.181.235

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-19.02.0

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Jake Arrieta • PIT: Tyler Anderson-145
L 4-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+100
L 4-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Adbert Alzolay-105
W 3-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • CHC: Trevor Williams-110
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Zach Davies-183
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jake Arrieta • PIT: Tyler Anderson+140
L 4-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Chad Kuhl • CIN: Luis Castillo+190
L 1-14 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Trevor Cahill • CIN: Wade Miley+149
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Jose De Leon+142
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Zach Davies+171

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PTyson Miller10-day IL
  • PRowan Wick10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder10-day IL
  • CAustin Romine10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PCody Ponce10-day IL
  • PJose Soriano60-day IL
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PAustin Davis60-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
ESE 14 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°73°70°70°
Humidity44%51%57%60%
Precipitation0%3%6%20%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindESE 14 mphESE 14 mphESE 14 mphSE 13 mph
Will Little
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-157-160-162-161-161-161-160-
Pirates+145+144+141+148+146+148+148-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-165-152-158-150-160-157-150-
Pirates+150+142+144+140+145+147+147-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -157 to -163
Pirates ML moved from +144 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -148 to -158
Pirates ML moved from +142 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+100-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-
Pirates+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½-105-1½+100-1½-101-1½-100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-
Pirates+1½-113+1½-120+1½-117+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-117-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o8½-105o8½+100o8½-103o8½-103o8½-103o8½+100-
Underu8½-125u8½-115u8½-120u8½-117u8½-117u8½-117u8½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-105o8½-115o8½-115o8½-105-
Underu8-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-125 to o8-144
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115