Cubs at Guardians

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
41.8%58.2%
Cubs WinGuardians Win
4.10Projected Runs 4.97
1Final Score 2
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-26.31.833

Sam Hentges (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
01-05.01.778

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansCHC: Adbert Alzolay • CLE: Shane Bieber+175
L 6-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Tyler Anderson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-159
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • CHC: Trevor Williams-185
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Trevor Cahill • CHC: Zach Davies-144
W 5-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+150
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • CLE: Shane Bieber-180
W 2-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Aaron Civale-111
L 3-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • CLE: Zach Plesac-140
W 4-0 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Danny Duffy+125
W 5-4 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Brady Singer-154

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • CAustin Romine60-day IL
  • PJake Arrieta10-day IL
  • SSJavier BaezUnknown
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder60-day IL
  • CFIan Happ10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • 3BKris BryantUnknown
  • PShelby Miller10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PNick WittgrenOut
WNW 5 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)54°54°55°55°
Humidity59%57%52%47%
Precipitation2%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphNW 6 mphNNW 7 mph
Lance Barksdale
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+122+115+123+122+123+123-
Guardians-110-135-135-133-132-133-132-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-102+125+118+121+120+120+125-
Guardians-108-135-129-131-130-130-129-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +102 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -119 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -105
Guardians ML moved from -126 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-210+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165-
Guardians-1½+175-1½+148-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+148-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170-
Guardians-1½+175-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+150-1½+160-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-101o8½+100o8½+102o8½+102o8½+102o8½+102-
Underu8½+105u8½-119u8½-120u8½-122u8½-122u8½-122u8½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-100o8½+100o8½-105o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100-
Underu9-120u8½-120u8½-115u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8+100