MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
48.6%
51.4%
-105
+100
-108
+102
-1½+153
+1½-158
-1½+160
+1½-160
5
0
-0.68116-0.66959-0.72087
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
57.9%
42.1%
-139
+131
-136
+135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-125
12
13
-0.85163-0.85621-0.86579
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
51.5%
48.5%
+110
-114
+111
-116
+1½-207
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
3
-0.63864-0.63260-0.72346
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
53.5%
46.5%
-120
+112
-119
+111
-1½+135
+1½-146
-1½+130
+1½-150
1
2
-0.76841-0.76385-0.76580
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
47.4%
52.6%
+128
-132
+130
-135
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
3
-0.83172-0.84211-0.74577
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
41.5%
58.5%
+138
-145
+139
-146
+1½-155
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+140
9
3
-0.87904-0.88312-0.88037
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
44.9%
55.1%
+137
-142
+135
-144
+1½-158
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
5
-0.54178-0.54294-0.59557
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
55.1%
44.9%
-143
+136
-146
+138
-1½+109
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-125
16
9
-0.54235-0.53529-0.59635
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs
48.3%
51.7%
+136
-135
+140
-148
+1½-160
-1½+151
+1½-158
-1½+150
0
1
-0.55250-0.52957-0.65991
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
41.5%
58.5%
+124
-132
+126
-135
+1½-163
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+147
2
3
-0.57921-0.57111-0.53548
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
43.2%
56.8%
+152
-162
+153
-163
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
6
-0.49579-0.49333-0.56632
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
45.3%
54.7%
+146
-149
+153
-157
+1½-125
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+115
12
11
-0.90505-0.93435-0.79290
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
50.5%
49.5%
-119
+113
-117
+111
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+145
+1½-150
4
7
-0.76891-0.75971-0.70285
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
58.5%
41.5%
-141
+132
-138
+131
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
4
5
-0.85755-0.84989-0.87981
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
53.0%
47.0%
-117
+110
-121
+120
-1½+143
+1½-158
-1½+135
+1½-145
6
3
-0.63297-0.60444-0.63424
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
45.8%
54.2%
+121
-126
+121
-127
+1½-168
-1½+156
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
0
-0.80294-0.80488-0.78019
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.