Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
40.5%59.5%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.39Projected Runs 4.39
2Final Score 4
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Jared Jones (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-23.811.02

Kyle Harrison (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
178-23.011.08

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bubba Chandler • MIL: Brandon Sproat+135
L 2-10 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Chase Burns+124
W 4-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CIN: Andrew Abbott-112
L 7-8 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene-120
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Yohan Ramirez • CIN: Rhett Lowder-115
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bubba Chandler • MIL: Brandon Sproat-145
L 0-3 at Los Angeles AngelsMIL: Jacob Misiorowski • LAA: Walbert Ureña-218
W 3-1 at Los Angeles AngelsMIL: Robert Gasser • LAA: Brent Suter-145
W 6-2 at Los Angeles AngelsMIL: Shane Drohan • LAA: Ryan Johnson-160
L 3-16 at San Francisco GiantsMIL: Thomas Pannone • SFG: Logan Webb-107

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMitch Keller60-day IL
  • CFOneil Cruz60-day IL
  • SSKonnor Griffin60-day IL
  • DHRyan O'Hearn10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PRob Zastryzny60-day IL
  • RFSal Frelick10-day IL
  • 1BJake BauersRest
SW 9 mph
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°82°79°77°
Humidity57%64%70%77%
Precipitation0%4%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 9 mphSW 6 mphSSW 4 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+131+126+130+135+130+135+135.3
Brewers-160-143-150-143-145-143-143-135.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+142+130+127+131+131-+131+135.3
Brewers-161-140-141-146-148--140-135.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +134 to +123
Brewers ML moved from -157 to -163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +135 to +125
Brewers ML moved from -142 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-185+1½-172+1½-170+1½-171+1½-165+1½-171+1½-165+1½-158
Brewers-1½+160-1½+152-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+152-1½+158
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-155+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165-+1½-165+1½-158
Brewers-1½+135-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145--1½+150-1½+158

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½+106o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+106o7½+109
Underu8-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105-o7½-105o7½+109
Underu8-125u7½-110u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115-u7½-110u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110