Phillies at Reds

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.7
RA/G3.9
60.0%40.0%
Phillies WinReds Win
4.34Projected Runs 3.29
14Final Score 3
Rank17
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank4
R/G4.7
RA/G3.9
Rank17
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-27.041.5

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-17.01.778

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 0-13 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Matt Strahm • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-102
W 8-3 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Connor Overton-145
L 2-6 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Bailey Falter • CIN: Nick Lodolo+103
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • PHI: Zack Wheeler-187
L 8-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • PHI: Aaron Nola-135
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 0-13 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Matt Strahm • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+101
L 8-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Connor Overton+138
W 2-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Bailey Falter • CIN: Nick Lodolo-108
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Spencer Strider+235
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Luis Cessa • ATL: Kyle Wright+213

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon60-day IL
  • 1BDarick Hall10-day IL
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
  • PCristopher SanchezUnknown
  • PNoah SongUnknown
  • PNick NelsonUnknown
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • PLuke WeaverUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonUnknown
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • SSJose BarreroRest
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
WSW 14 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)61°59°58°56°
Humidity72%70%65%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyWindyWindy
WindWSW 14 mphWSW 15 mphWSW 15 mphWSW 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-190-196-215-191-188-191-188-180.5
Reds+180+181+175+175+178+175+181+180.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-190-200-187-210-200-200-187-180.5
Reds+158+180+169+175+181+180+181+180.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -181 to -188
Reds ML moved from +173 to +167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -189 to -200
Reds ML moved from +181 to +169

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-125-1½-128-1½-135-1½-128-1½-125-1½-128-1½-125-1½-117
Reds+1½+105+1½+112+1½+115+1½+108+1½+105+1½+108+1½+115+1½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-125-1½-135-1½-133-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-117
Reds+1½+105+1½+115+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115+1½+117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-103o9½-110o9½-107o9½-105o9½-107o9½-103o9½+103
Underu9+100u9½-113u9½-110u9½-113u9½-115u9½-113u9½-110u9½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½+103
Underu9-105u9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-105u9½-115u9½-105u9½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9-104 to u9-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115