Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
55.4%44.6%
Reds WinGuardians Win
5.30Projected Runs 4.73
3Final Score 9
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
236-104.091.386

Sam Hentges (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-47.862.015

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-250
W 3-11 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-190
W 0-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Wade Miley-182
W 4-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • CIN: Sonny Gray-238
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Charlie Barnes • CIN: Luis Castillo-226
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Wily Peralta • CLE: Zach Plesac-150
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Alexander • CLE: Eli Morgan-143
W 1-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • CLE: Cal Quantrill-132
L 0-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Triston McKenzie • TOR: Ross Stripling+181
L 6-8 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: J.C. Mejia • TOR: Steven Matz+185

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrad Brach10-day IL
  • 2BMike MoustakasRest
  • PArt Warren10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinRest
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BBobby Bradley10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
S 12 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
UnknownHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°88°86°84°
Humidity49%53%65%72%
Precipitation2%2%2%3%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindS 12 mphS 11 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-165--180-176-176-176-176-
Guardians+152-+155+162+161+162+162-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-171-180-173-179-180-174-173-
Guardians+155+165+157+164+164+162+165-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -165 to -171
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -168 to -175
Guardians ML moved from +161 to +154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-113--1½-125-1½-121-1½-121-1½-121-1½-121-
Guardians+1½-107-+1½+105+1½+101+1½+101+1½+101+1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-117-1½-125-1½-118-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-118-
Guardians+1½-101+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110-o9½-120o9½-125o9½-125o9½-125o9½-120-
Underu9½-110-u9½+100u9½+105u9½+105u9½+105u9½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-120o10-105o9½-115o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115-
Underu9½-105u9½+100u10-115u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-117 to o9½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
No Steam Moves On Under