Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
34.9%65.1%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.38Projected Runs 4.96
2Final Score 3
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Bryse Wilson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-44.421.445

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
228-33.861.243

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+185
L 0-10 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Wade Miley+172
L 4-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Wil Crowe • CIN: Sonny Gray+216
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Steven Brault • MIL: Freddy Peralta+234
W 8-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Max Kranick • MIL: Adrian Houser+210
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-11 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-190
W 0-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Wade Miley-182
W 4-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • CIN: Sonny Gray-238
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Charlie Barnes • CIN: Luis Castillo-226
L 7-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Tyler Mahle-133

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PChase De Jong60-day IL
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest
  • PSam Howard10-day IL
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BMike MoustakasRest
  • CFTyler NaquinRest
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • PArt Warren10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°89°90°91°
Humidity57%54%53%52%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindSSW 5 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 7 mphS 8 mph
Tom Hallion
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+216-+225+241+230+241+241-
Reds-240--270-270-270-270-270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+208+220+224+220+227+230+230-
Reds-230-260-250-250-260-260-250-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +216 to +208
Reds ML moved from -262 to -270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +232 to +218
Reds ML moved from -242 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105-+1½+120+1½+134+1½+134+1½+134+1½+134-
Reds-1½-125--1½-140-1½-154-1½-154-1½-154-1½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+104+1½+120+1½+122+1½+120+1½+130+1½+120+1½+130-
Reds-1½-122-1½-140-1½-140-1½-140-1½-150-1½-140-1½-140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+100-o10½-105o10½-103o10½-103o10½-103o10½-103-
Underu10-120-u10½-115u10½-117u10½-117u10½-117u10½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10½-105o10½-105o10½-105o10½-110o10½-105o10½-105-
Underu9½-105u10½-115u10½-115u10½-115u10½-110u10½-115u10½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-115 to u10½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10½-105 to u10½-110