Red Sox at Royals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(10-10)
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
54.6%45.4%
Red Sox WinRoyals Win
4.32Projected Runs 3.84
3Final Score 7

Kansas City Royals

(12-7)
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
Rank22
R/G4.2
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
218-84.471.323

Kris Bubic (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
162-65.451.601

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-6 at Houston AstrosBOS: Rich Hill • HOU: Jose Urquidy+176
W 2-1 at Houston AstrosBOS: Kutter Crawford • HOU: Cristian Javier+185
W 3-2 at Houston AstrosBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia+160
W 2-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • BOS: Josh Winckowski+129
L 9-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • BOS: Nick Pivetta+105
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxKCR: Brady Singer • CHW: Lance Lynn+129
L 2-9 at Chicago White SoxKCR: Brad Keller • CHW: Lucas Giolito+160
W 2-1 at Chicago White SoxKCR: Daniel Lynch • CHW: Michael Kopech+157
W 8-6 at New York YankeesKCR: Zack Greinke • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+235
L 2-8 at New York YankeesKCR: Jonathan Heasley • NYY: Nestor Cortes+265

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • PTyler DanishUnknown
  • LFAlex VerdugoRest
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • 1BEric HosmerProbable
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CFEdward Olivares10-day IL
  • PAngel Zerpa60-day IL
  • PDaniel LynchUnknown
ENE 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)90°87°83°81°
Humidity60%64%74%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionHumidHumidHumidHumid
WindENE 7 mphENE 7 mphE 6 mphE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120-140-145-138-128-138-128-130.2
Royals+110+130+122+128+118+128+130+130.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-130-135-143-140-140-135-135-130.2
Royals+120+125+131+118+129+125+131+130.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 70.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Royals ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -134 to -143
Royals ML moved from +125 to +118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+115-1½+117-1½+120-1½+113-1½+120-1½+113-1½+120-1½+124
Royals+1½-135+1½-133+1½-140+1½-132+1½-140+1½-132+1½-132+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+120-1½+112-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124
Royals+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-108o9-105o9-105o8½-125o9-105o8½-125o9+104
Underu8½+100u9-108u9-115u9-115u8½+105u9-115u9-108u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105o9+104
Underu8½+100u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+107 to o9-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
No Steam Moves On Under
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