Cubs at Padres

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
39.9%60.1%
Cubs WinPadres Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.52
3Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jake Arrieta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-65.261.491

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
126-12.250.931

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 7-1 at San Diego PadresCHC: Zach Davies • SDP: Dinelson Lamet+175
L 4-9 at San Diego PadresCHC: Adbert Alzolay • SDP: Ryan Weathers+109
W 4-3 at San Francisco GiantsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • SFG: Johnny Cueto-109
L 3-4 at San Francisco GiantsCHC: Kohl Stewart • SFG: Kevin Gausman+150
L 5-8 at San Francisco GiantsCHC: Jake Arrieta • SFG: Scott Kazmir-101
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-180
W 4-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • SDP: Ryan Weathers-111
L 6-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Marcus Stroman • SDP: Chris Paddack-144
L 4-0 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • SDP: Joe Musgrove+110
W 0-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • SDP: Blake Snell-170

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • SSJavier BaezUnknown
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • PJustin Steele10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • 3BMatt Duffy10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
  • PTrevor Williams10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • 3BKris BryantRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PDrew Pomeranz10-day IL
  • CAustin Nola10-day IL
  • LFJurickson ProfarRest
  • PDan Altavilla60-day IL
  • PKeone KelaOut for Season
  • CFTrent Grisham10-day IL
WNW 11 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°70°69°69°
Humidity64%61%57%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 13 mph
Roberto Ortiz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+175+234+230+228+215+228+234-
Padres-191-265-280-255-255-255-255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+176+220+235+230+227+230+235-
Padres-195-260-263-260-260-260-260-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +218 to +212
Padres ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Padres ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-120+1½+110+1½+120+1½+113+1½+113+1½+113+1½+120-
Padres-1½+100-1½-130-1½-140-1½-133-1½-133-1½-133-1½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-117+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110-
Padres-1½-101-1½-125-1½-128-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8+105o8-105o8-105o8-110o8-105o8+105-
Underu8+100u8-125u8-115u8-115u8-110u8-115u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+100-
Underu8+100u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-117
The Under moved from u8-119 to u8-131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115