Orioles at Guardians

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(12-6)
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
39.1%60.9%
Orioles WinGuardians Win
3.69Projected Runs 4.83
3Final Score 10

Cleveland Guardians

(13-6)
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Jorge Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
132-75.641.467

Eli Morgan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-120.253.75

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 7-8 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Keegan Akin • CLE: Aaron Civale+148
L 2-7 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Matt Harvey • CLE: Cal Quantrill+160
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Jean Carlos Mejia+148
L 1-7 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Bruce Zimmerman • TBR: Michael Wacha+165
L 4-5 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Jorge Lopez • TBR: Rich Hill+195
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 7-8 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • CLE: Aaron Civale-154
W 2-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Matt Harvey • CLE: Cal Quantrill-165
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Jean Carlos Mejia-150
L 6-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Shane Bieber-220
W 4-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • CLE: Triston McKenzie-114

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • CPedro SeverinoRest
  • RFAnthony SantanderUnknown
  • LFD.J. StewartRest
  • SSRichie Martin60-day IL
  • PJohn Means10-day IL
  • 1BChris DavisOut for Season

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
  • PShane Bieber10-day IL
  • PZach Plesac10-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesUnknown
  • LFJordan Luplow60-day IL
N 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°76°77°77°
Humidity42%43%44%44%
Precipitation1%0%1%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 4 mphNNW 4 mphNW 5 mphNW 5 mph
Mike Muchlinski
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+130+101-102+100+100+100+101-
Guardians-150-111-118-110-110-110-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+132+108+102+104+109+106+109-
Guardians-145-118-112-114-119-116-112-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +100 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 50.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +108 to +102
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-150+1½-200+1½-180+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-180-
Guardians-1½+130-1½+170-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-150+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180-
Guardians-1½+131-1½+160-1½+168-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+168-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-110o9½-120o9½-112o9½-112o9½-112o9½-110-
Underu9+100u9½-110u9½+100u9½-108u9½-108u9½-108u9½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-130o9½-105o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-105-
Underu9+100u9½+110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-105u9½-110u9½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-101 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9-100 to u9-115
Twins at Mariners
Diamondbacks at Giants