Phillies at Braves

Updated

Philadelphia Phillies

(11-8)
Rank6
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1
43.4%56.6%
Phillies WinBraves Win
3.69Projected Runs 4.38
2Final Score 7

Atlanta Braves

(12-5)
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
319-84.641.116

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2713-73.121.109

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton+111
L 6-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse-215
W 0-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • PHI: Ranger Suarez-262
W 6-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Sam Howard • PHI: Kyle Gibson-215
W 6-12 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola-260
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton-117
W 4-3 at San Diego PadresATL: Jesse Chavez • SDP: Joe Musgrove+117
W 10-8 at San Diego PadresATL: Huascar Ynoa • SDP: Vince Velasquez-113
W 4-0 at San Diego PadresATL: Max Fried • SDP: Reiss Knehr-121
L 4-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-194

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PZach EflinOut for Season
  • 3BFreddy GalvisRest
  • PConnor Brogdon10-day IL
  • PMatt Moore10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PJosh Tomlin10-day IL
  • CStephen Vogt10-day IL
  • CFJoc PedersonRest
NW 3 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°78°76°75°
Humidity52%59%66%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 3 mphNW 2 mphNNW 2 mphNW 3 mph
Fieldin Culbreth
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+120+128+137+139+138+137+139+141.8
Braves-130-153-148-149-148-148-148-141.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+130+139+132+134+133+136+139+141.8
Braves-142-149-145-144-145-146-144-141.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +120 to +112
Braves ML moved from -130 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +124 to +115
Braves ML moved from -140 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-165+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-158+1½-158+1½-146
Braves-1½+145-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+138-1½+140-1½+146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-167+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-146
Braves-1½+148-1½+135-1½+141-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+141-1½+146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+104
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-105o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+104
Underu8-115u8-115u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-114 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-102 to o8-116
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115
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