Pirates at Phillies

Updated
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
35.1%64.9%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.51Projected Runs 5.07
6Final Score 12
Rank5
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank5
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.771

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
308-84.481.115

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 6-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle+201
L 5-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+149
L 5-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Max Kranick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+190
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIA: Edward Cabrera+120
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Wil Crowe • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+143
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • PHI: Zack Wheeler-310
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Conner Greene • PHI: Adonis Medina-198
L 2-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • PHI: Ranger Suarez-197
L 2-3 at New York MetsPHI: Kyle Gibson • NYM: Rich Hill+123
W 5-3 at New York MetsPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-108

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDavid Bednar10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PZach EflinOut for Season
  • PMatt Moore10-day IL
  • PConnor Brogdon10-day IL
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
SSW 3 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)66°65°67°69°
Humidity91%89%83%76%
Precipitation44%40%37%39%
ConditionRainPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindSSW 3 mphSW 3 mphSSW 4 mphN 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+212+225+238+230+227+238+238+241.5
Phillies-235-280-267-260-267-267-260-241.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+210+230+234+240+233+240+240+241.5
Phillies-235-270-260-280-270-270-260-241.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +216 to +206
Phillies ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +250 to +234
Phillies ML moved from -260 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+100+1½+110+1½+114+1½+110+1½+114+1½+114+1½+115+1½+121
Phillies-1½-120-1½-130-1½-134-1½-130-1½-134-1½-134-1½-130-1½-121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+100+1½+115+1½+104+1½+120+1½+115+1½+120+1½+120+1½+121
Phillies-1½-120-1½-135-1½-122-1½-140-1½-135-1½-140-1½-122-1½-121

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8½+106
Underu8½-105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-115o8½+106
Underu8½-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-109 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-110
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8-105