Brewers at Reds

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(19-11)
Rank5
R/G5.2
RA/G4.4
46.6%53.4%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.37
9Final Score 5

Cincinnati Reds

(16-15)
Rank19
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G5.2
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joe Ross (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.01.909

Frankie Montas (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.771.029

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 8-10 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-104
W 4-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • MIL: Colin Rea-130
L 5-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • MIL: DL Hall-115
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • MIL: Freddy Peralta-118
L 7-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Paddack • MIL: Joe Ross-105
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 8-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+100
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • CIN: Andrew Abbott+108
W 6-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • CIN: Nick Martinez-118
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene-126
W 4-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Frankie Montas • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • -Taylor Clarke15-day IL
  • PDevin Williams15-day IL
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PTrevor MegillUnknown
  • PWade Miley15-day IL
  • PJakob JunisQuestionable

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PIan Gibaut15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain60-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • PAlex Young15-day IL
SSW 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°62°61°61°
Humidity82%82%83%85%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+142+117+112+115+116+115+117+119.4
Reds-155-127-134-125-126-125-125-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+138+115+114+116+122+116+122+119.4
Reds-150-125-124-131-132-126-124-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +124 to +118
Reds ML moved from -142 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +125 to +118
Reds ML moved from -138 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-150+1½-168+1½-170+1½-172+1½-165+1½-172+1½-165+1½-159
Reds-1½+130-1½+152-1½+145-1½+152-1½+145-1½+152-1½+152-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-155+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-159
Reds-1½+135-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+145-1½+155-1½+160-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½+102o9½+100o9-120o9½-110o9-120o9-120o9-109
Underu9½-120u9½-118u9½-120u9+100u9½-110u9+100u9½-110u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9-109
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-120u9½-115u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under
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