Pirates at Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(13-11)
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
32.9%67.1%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.25Projected Runs 6.02
3Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(14-9)
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-5 at Chicago CubsPIT: Tyler Anderson • CHC: Jake Arrieta+150
W 5-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Chad Kuhl • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+190
L 6-8 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: JT Brubaker • CLE: Cal Quantrill+151
W 8-0 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Joe Musgrove • CLE: Aaron Civale+155
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+220
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Tyler Anderson • CHC: Jake Arrieta-157
L 5-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chad Kuhl • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-210
L 2-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sixto Sanchez • CHC: Yu Darvish-195
L 5-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-159
W 10-8 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Adbert Alzolay • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez+144

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PJose Soriano60-day IL
  • PCody Ponce10-day IL
  • PKyle CrickOut
  • PAustin Davis60-day IL
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CAustin Romine10-day IL
  • PRowan Wick10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder10-day IL
  • PTyson Miller10-day IL
SE 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)58°61°63°64°
Humidity57%52%48%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindSE 6 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mphSSE 8 mph
Ramon De Jesus
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+148+174+165+171+166+171+174-
Cubs-170-194-190-186-186-186-186-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+155+168+170+170+170+171+171-
Cubs-170-183-188-190-190-186-183-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +165 to +155
Cubs ML moved from -176 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +176 to +170
Cubs ML moved from -180 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½-119+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-119-
Cubs-1½-110-1½-101-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-138+1½-125+1½-122+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120-
Cubs-1½+120-1½+105-1½+104-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-101o8½-105o8½-103o8½-103o8½-103o8½-101-
Underu8½-110u8½-119u8½-115u8½-117u8½-117u8½-117u8½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-105o8-115o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8-115-
Underu8-105u8½-115u8-105u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110
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